UK wage growth eased to 4.5% between September and November 2025, according to the Office for National Statistics, reflecting a notable slowdown in private sector pay.
Pay in private businesses rose just 3.6%, the lowest rate in five years. Public sector wages increased 7.9%, however, the ONS has said that this was likely due to pay awards being brought forward when compared with the previous year.
The labour market showed further signs of cooling. The number of people on company payrolls fell by 135,000, with the decline concentrated in retail and hospitality.
Youth unemployment for 16-24-year-olds remained elevated at 15.9%, while overall unemployment held at 5.1%, the highest since early 2021.
Are there any takeaways for businesses?
Economists have interpreted slower private sector pay growth as something that will ease inflationary pressures, which may help in further cuts to interest rates.
Slower private sector pay growth suggests that there could be some relief to wage pressures over the next few months, although with an increase to national minimum wage rates coming in April, hiring is unlikely to get cheaper.
The weaker hiring activity by retail and hospitality businesses suggests that consumers are feeling the pinch, which could have implications for sales income for many businesses.
Running a business in recent times has been a lesson in resilience. Costs continue to increase and customers are cautious. Cash is proving tight for many businesses and credit control is a core discipline for keeping a business afloat in such times.
The British Beer and Pub Association (BBPA) have reported that 161 pubs closed across the country in the first three months of 2026. It is estimated that this has led to the loss of 2,400 jobs. Scotland has been the most heavily affected, with 41 closures between January and March.